Wednesday, December 8, 2010

Midseason Report 2011 - World Division

The World is another highly competitive division, with 3 of the 4 teams over .500 (and within 2.5 games of each other). Caracas, who under-performed in 2010, has put it together so far this year, but are tied with Quebec. Fremantle is right on their tails, with last place Brisbane just 2 under .500 (and 6.5 back). It's truly anyone's division.

Caracas Bolivares

Caracas was all about hitting in 2010, but couldn't overcome major pitching issues. Some savvy off-season moves by GM Tom Hey have bolstered the rotation and put Caracas in a good position heading down the stretch.

The offense is still a huge strength for the Bolivares. Not only do they hit for power, but they hit for average as well (five regulars are hitting over .300). Chris Coghlan is the total package, batting a whopping .360/.393/.717, making him a viable MVP candidate. Last year's MVP, Alex Rodriguez, continues to produce, while veterans like Bobby Abreu and Jermaine Dye defy their age. Outside of light hitting Brian McCann behind the dish, there are no holes in this lineup.

What a difference in the rotation this year! Johan Santana is no longer going it alone, as the team added Cole Hamels (7-1, 2.93), Jake Westbrook (6-4, 2.91) and Justin Verlander (12-2, 3.16). The fifth starter is a problem, but come playoff team, won't matter. Nothing great in the pen (and some disasters), but it's been good enough.


Quebec Horned Frogs

The Horned Frogs have gone about things very similarly to the Bolivares, with a core of power hitters complimented by good enough pitching. The team has catching up to do in the divisional record category, with Caracas' 14-6 mark besting (at present) Quebec's 9-10, which would be a tie-breaker for playoff seedings.

A very strong lineup has lead Quebec to a tie for best record in SLB. Adam Dunn is an RBI machine, while Drew, McCutchen and Reyes help set the table and score runs. Soriano has been solid (when healthy), and the unknown Willie Bloomquist has been a nice surprise. Dustin Pedroia can't stay on the field, suffering another long term injury in the first half. The first round pick has combined for under 350 AB's in his first two seasons in Quebec.

Though not as good as Caracas, the Quebec rotation is solid. Roy Oswalt has stepped up as the ace with his 2.27 ERA, and he's backed by solid years from Perkins, Duke and Slowey. Aaron Cook has been knocked around, but he's the fifth starter.

Hawkins and Farnsworth are a dynamite duo at the end of games, but it's sometimes tough getting them the lead. Middle and long relief has been really rough, and it will be interesting to see if there is a shake up in July or August.

Fremantle Cormorants

Unlike the two teams they're chasing, Fremantle's team is built primarily around pitching, not hitting. The starters are good, and the bullpen is arguably the best in the division. Are there any moves to be made to bolster the offense down the stretch?

While there are some good batting averages in this lineup, it's still what you'd call "light hitting". Mark Teixeira is the only Cormorant to have over 20 HR, and his 59 RBI lead the team. An unsung hero on this team is Tug Hullet (who?), the second baseman who leads the team in OBP and SLG. Alex Rios is also having a good year but has remained under the radar.

This rotation is very good 1-5, keeping losing streaks to a minimum. Four of the five starters have ERA's under 4.00, though the W-L records aren't very impressive. Carlos Zambrano has been the best starter, but has been hampered by injuries, limiting him to 10 starts. Great comeback year for Chris Carpenter, who has allowed just 5 HR in 118 IP.

Outside of Soriano, the pen just isn't good (and even HIS ERA is unsustainable with his peripherals). Anyone in the minors to bring up?

Brisbane Koalas

The defending SLB champs have gone through front office changes, and as such, have fallen back a bit in the standings. Still, at just 6.5 games back, they're still in it, and with more active attention, could make a move.

The Koalas are dead last in team home runs (just 81 in 90 games), and they are by far the lowest scoring team in the division. Just three players on the entire roster have over 10 HR (Zimmerman leads with 17), and the team batting average is close to last as well. Plenty of places to upgrade on the trade market, but what is management willing to part with?

Felix Hernandez looked unhittable in the first month of the season, winning Pitcher of the Month with a 4-0, 0.00 ERA April record. He's still good, but his numbers are now a more human 9-6, 3.62. The rest of the rotation is quite good, with excellent first-halves from Francis, Kershaw and Piniero.

A couple of former starters are really excelling in the pen this year. Aaron Laffey (1.85) and Jeff Weaver (1.61) have been lights out, and closer Carlos Marmol (2.00) has taken care of business in the ninth. With even average run support, this team is right in the race.

Monday, December 6, 2010

Midseason Report 2011 - West Division

The West is by far the weakest division in SLB, with the division leaders tied with just a .500 record. Last year's World Series runner up (OKC) is struggling badly, and Kansas' pitching can't keep it's league-leading offense in games. Sioux Falls is struggling again, and one wonders how soon the youth will start paying off.

La Brea Dire Wolves

La Brea clinched the first half with a 41-36 record, but has gone 3-8 since. A .500 record sounds about right for a team that is firmly middle-of-the-pack both offensively and defensively. They don't hit well (just one regular squeaking above .300), but the power is pretty decent. This is the slowest team in SLB, stealing just 55 bases in 88 games.

The really good pitching performances (Beckett, Towers) are being overshadowed by the really bad (Duchscherer, Wang). Improvements must be made to the rotation if there is any hope of advancing in the playoffs. Josh Towers has been excellent (7-3, 2.74), but he can't do it all alone.

It's more good and bad in the bullpen. Jon Link has been very solid late, allowing just 2 HR in 34 IP while allowing just a .344 OpSLG. Ryan Madson has managed a solid ERA despite giving up a lot of hits. On the down side, Strop and Rodriguez's control has been horrible, allowing a ton of baserunners late.


Springfield Isotopes

The Isotopes are also .500, but have been playing better in July (6-5). The team is more talented on paper than La Brea, and if they stay healthy, have a good chance to win either the second half or the division outright.

Springfield has scored the second fewest runs in SLB, and have been outscored by 26 runs total. The power is partly to blame (Blanks is the only hitter with over 20 HR), while the catching position has been a black hole. The speed isn't great either, but if the team is looking to upgrade, another power bat (or two) would surely go far.

Even though the team ERA is very good, the starters have really struggled. Burnett and Lincecum have been good (3.36 and 3.75 ERA respectively), but neither is above .500. A long injury to Zach Greinke (who recently returned) forced Vazquez and Buchholz into more starts than the front office would have liked.

On the flip side, the Isotope bullpen has been lights out. Aside from Mitch Talbot, the entire relief staff have ERA's south of 4.40. Fuentes and Hernandez have been particularly dominating, each holding opponents to under .200 batting averages.

Oklahoma City Bison

The defending West champs have had a terrible run this year, thanks to an insane number of injuries. Right now, six players are out long term, while others have been off and on the DL all season. No team can be expected to succeed with this amount of playing time going to replacement level players.

Only four players have played every day, and one of them sucks (Pena). Longoria has had decent run production numbers, but has hit very poorly. The other two are Japanese, so I'm not sure they're even real. The star of the team is Carlos Gonzalez, but he's more or less out for the year after posting a .322/.365/.675 line. Tough break. First base has been a disaster (Ludwick and Hoffpauir are both hurt and bad). Uncle, I give.

Josh Johnson and Ted Lilly have continued their 2010 successes in 2011 and anchor this rotation. After that, it's ugly. Max Scherzer, who couldn't win to save his life last year, is now the third best starter thanks to disastrous seasons by McGowan and Kazmir. Many GM's will come calling about Lilly and Johnson, but will OKC move them?

Good think Broxton is decent as the closer, because otherwise it's been horrible. Donnie Veal was demoted after inexcusably bad stats, but is already back up due to injuries. Why does Heath Bell suck so much? Guess Brett Anderson isn't the answer, huh?

Kansas Twisters

Kansas dug themselves a deep hole that they're now trying desperately to dig themselves out of. They finished June 12 games back, but have made up 5 games in July by going 8-3. If La Brea and Springfield continue to struggle in mediocrity, it's not unrealistic to think that the Twisters could storm back and take the division.

This offense is best in the division and second best in the league (behind Caracas). Four players have 20+ HR, and all four are nearly at 30. Ryan Braun is out for 4-6 weeks, which hurts, though Mark DeRosa has (coughroidedcough) vastly improved over last season. Brett Gardner is out for the year, leaving Ichiro as the lone stolen base threat.

Second best offense, second worst pitching. Tommy Hanson's 4.21 ERA makes him the ace, and it goes downhill from there. Jered Weaver would be a decent 4th starter on most teams, but slots in at #2 here. Number one overall draft pick Stephen Strasburg was the opening day starter, but struggled through his 13 starts before being shut down for the year with tricep problems. Jonathan Sanchez finally gets the starts he has deserved for the past year and a half.

Total disaster. Jose Valverde has been great, but otherwise it's a train wreck. The less said the better.


Sioux Falls Tomahawks

Fans probably hoped that this team's youth strategy would start paying off in year two, but SF is still struggling. The offense is uneven, while the pitching is worst in the league. GM Mike McAvoy is smart to not make any rash moves, though, as the only way to get the kids better is to keep running them out there.

Marlon Byrd is the star here. Marlon Byrd. Okay, I shouldn't make fun of the guy, as he's hitting .314 with 30 HR, but it points to the lack of star power in this lineup. One bright side of things, rookie catcher Tony Sanchez has been a nice addition to the lineup, giving the team something to build on. I have no idea what's wrong with Adrian Gonzalez.

Everything isn't bleak for the Tomahawk pitching staff. Carmona and Price have improved steadily and are solid options in the rotation. Yu Darvish has struggled as much as fellow draftee Strasburg, but at least he's stayed healthy. The team ERA has been skewed by some unbelievably bad bullpen numbers (four players with ERA's north of 7.00). Chris Perez and Leo Nunez, however, have been nails.

Thursday, December 2, 2010

Midseason Report 2011 - East Division

The East has been highly competitive this year, with 4 winning teams separated by just 3.5 games (and last place New York just 6 out). Atlanta won the first half, but it's anyone's division to win. Perhaps the team that makes the big trade will be the team that comes out on top come October.

Atlanta Flyers

The Flyers are once again in first place at the break despite any real superstars. Atlanta is built on a team-first concept, where everyone contributes but no one really stands out. The team is 6th in runs and 10th in ERA, but holds the second best record in baseball. The Flyers rely on a lot of luck (they've been outscored this year but are 9 games over .500), thanks to a 19-9 record in 1-run games.

Solid contributions 1-8 make this offense a threat. Nine players have 10+ HR, though nobody with more than 200 AB's is batting over .300. Justin Morneau is the team MVP, thanks to his 78 RBI (a total that is nearly double any of his teammates). Look for Carlos Beltran to get the lion's share of playing time in center with his hot bat.

The rotation has become more consistent this year. Last season's starters were feast or famine, while the 2011 rotation are all good but not great. Edwin Jackson has been the "ace", going 10-4 with a 3.99 ERA, but no starter has been dominant. Injuries have forced rookie Doug Fister to start 10 games, and he hasn't been good.

Joakim Soria is the best reliever in SLB, giving up just 21 hits in 45 IP, with a 1.39 ERA. Joe Nathan is a quality closer, and Rafael Perez has been good enough. Middle/long relief has been spotty, but overall, the pen has done it's job.



Columbus Capitals

It has been another up and down year for Columbus, but the Capitals find themselves just a game out of first at the break. The team has made up 3.5 games in 10 days, thanks to an Atlanta slump. Last year's playoff squad has seen a lot of turnover, but the new faces have done well to keep the winning ways alive.

It's a younger offense in 2011, as Manny Ramirez and Chone Figgins have been replaced by Matt LaPorta and Mat Gamel. Gamel, a throw in from last year's Billy Wagner trade, has excelled in his starting role, batting .321 with over 20 homers. 2010 MVP runner up Chase Utley was off to a hot start (.345) before being shelved with an injury, forcing management to promote 2010 draftee Scott Sizemore into early duty. The youngster has responded, batting over .300 since his promotion. Jeremy Herminda has been a nice addition as well.

Another great season for the Columbus starters. Roy Halladay has his eye on the Cy Young, notching an 11-4, 2.72 mark through the first half. Webb, Chamberlain and Liriano all have ERA's in the 3's, while newcomer Matt Cain has been the "worst" at 6-5, 4.51. The rotation has combined for 48 quality starts.

The Achilles' heel for the Capitals has been the pen, who, outside of Volstad and Marte, has been terrible. Everyone gives up hits in bunches, even closer Brian Wilson, who has completely fallen apart after a successful 2010 campaign. What will the trade market look like for relievers this year?

Miami Sharks

The Sharks are the most improved team in the East, thanks to quality pitching and veteran hitters. Miami was 34-44 in the first half last year, on pace for 75 wins and 4th place. Now they are just 2 games out of first.

It's not an ideal lineup, but it has been effective. Old timers like Derrek Lee and Jorge Posada are showing that they aren't quite over the hill yet, while rookie SS Tracy Pena has been a nice spark. The team has good speed, which makes up for the lack of power. Miami has been lucky on the injury front, which has masked the lack of depth on offense.

The Sharks are 4th in the league in ERA without any true stars. The rotation has been great with no-names like Nolasco and Blackburn leading the way. Jake Peavy has done well, while Kendrick and Pelfrey have been good enough at the back of the rotation. All of the starters have been particularly good at limiting walks, keeping runners off base.

The bullpen has been one of the best in SLB. Chad Bradford has been nails at closer, while Mike Gonzalez has bounced back to have a strong year. Miami has benefited from reliable middle relief, a luxury few teams in the league have had.

Jersey City Jackals

The Jackals lost their GM this year (yet to be replaced), but are still playing some pretty strong baseball. Like the Flyers, Jersey City has a balanced offense, but the pitching has kept them from pushing to the front of the pack in the East. Can a new owner be found to fine tune this squad for a playoff run?

Joe Mauer leads a team with nine players sporting double digit homerun totals. Mauer is a strong MVP candidate, batting .339/.390/.630 while leading the team in RBI. Nice contributions from Magglio Ordonez and Brade Hawpe in the outfield, while Orlando Hudson has the speed at the top to set the table.

Outside of Mark Buerhle, the starting rotation has been solid. Run support has hurt the W-L records, but vet Rich Harden and youngster Felix Doubront have low ERA's and quality numbers. Kuroda is a good #3 starter, and Rick Porcello has been decent enough.

The pen has it's good and it's bad. Ageless Mariano Rivera continues to pitch well late in games, and Jesse Crain is a crazy 7-1 in short relief. Bob Howry is terrible.


New York Knights

New York has had the same problems in 2011 that plagued them throughout 2010. While the pitching has been pretty good, the offense is simply terrible; last in runs and last in home runs at the break. What is it about the Big Apple that kills the long ball?

The focus remains on Albert Pujols, who, despite having a better batting average, is still bafflingly unproductive. He's hitting .266 with just 9 HR, though to be fair, Nelson Cruz's 13 HR lead the team. There is a ton of team speed, but small ball hasn't cut it for the Knights, who are busy trying to solve this offensive conundrum.

The starting pitching, on the other hand, has been quite good. Scott Baker leads the way with his 3.19 ERA, while Cliff Lee and Aaron Harang squeak in with ERA's just under 4.00. The pen has been pretty good, with Kuo, Wood, McClellan and Bonser all holding their own. If the Knights continue to fall further out of the playoff picture, expect many teams to come calling about relief help.